by Brandon Zamucen | Mar 10, 2025 | AJ Monte, Market Insights
The impact of a tariff trade war on the markets is multi-faceted, influencing stock prices, bond yields, inflation, economic growth, and currency values. Based on current analysis and historical patterns, here’s how a tariff trade war, such as the one initiated by the...
by Brandon Zamucen | Mar 3, 2025 | AJ Monte, Market Insights
Since the Great Depression of the early 1930’s, there have been 14 US recessions and, over the last century, the average recession lasted about 14 months. Historically, the standard rule of thumb for identifying a recession was two consecutive quarters of negative GDP...
by Brandon Zamucen | Mar 1, 2025 | AJ Monte, Risk Management, Trading Strategies
Friday’s markets saw some short covering & month-end window dressing, but AJ sees this as a setup for the next leg down. Hear more about this and a lot more in this week’s Weekly Market Report from AJ Monte: For a FREE, no-gimmick, two-week trial, and...
by Brandon Zamucen | Feb 24, 2025 | AJ Monte, Indicators, Technical Analysis, Trading Strategies
According to Dow Theory, trends go through three phases, where in a bull market these phases are the: Accumulation phase – when prices rise alongside an increase in volume Public participation (or big move) phase – when retail and average investors begin to notice the...
by Brandon Zamucen | Feb 22, 2025 | AJ Monte, Market Insights, Risk Management, Trading Strategies
Equity markets are incredibly overvalued. Gold & silver are soaring, and rates are NOT going down any time soon. This is one of the most OVERVALUED markets IN HISTORY *The S&P is expensive 19 out of 20 metrics, according to BofA Analysis. *Some metrics, such...
by Brandon Zamucen | Feb 17, 2025 | AJ Monte, Risk Management, Trading Strategies, Volatility
In 1993, Professor Bob Whaley created the Volatility Index, which forever changed the way options were traded in the open market. Up until that time, floor traders relied on the Black-Scholes model to calculate the fair value of the options they traded. While the...
