March Market Madness is Here – Are You Ready?

AJ’s weekly commentary for 14-Mar-25:

Based on previous bear markets, we generally see that “oh crap” moment after a 30-40% drop from the peak. We call this capitulation. Look at 2008: the S&P 500 fell about 57% from its high before bottoming out in March 2009, and capitulation kicked in late in that slide. The dotcom bust saw a 49% drop by 2002, with similar late-stage panic.

While I do believe we are witnessing the beginning stages of the next bear market, I can see capitulation coming much earlier than what we saw in 2000 and in 2008.  The markets are much more overbought than what we saw in the tech bubble and during the financial crisis, so investors will most likely begin to panic as they recall the days when they let the market take 50% of their account values from them.

As I’ve said so many times before…Keep your eyes on the charts. They tell us the truth about the price action without adding any emotion to the story of the stock market. – AJ Monte CMT

P.S. Don’t forget to catch AJ’s weekly content on ZeroHedge & his 1% Rule for Managing Risk in our StickyTrades.com University.

AJ’s Midweek market report  called for a bounce to close out the week-but also warned of more downside to come in the near future.  For this week’s AJ’s Weekly Market Report, AJ references the most recent equity bounce-but reminds us he still believes we are in the early stages of a bear market.  Make sure to check it out as AJ covers $IWM, $QQQ, Bitcoin, Gold, Silver, and more!

Our Matrix members had a HUGE hit with the $HOOD publication from 18-Feb-25. For those who held for a couple weeks, they made 3-4-5-6+ times on their trade. Click here for the sequence of how this become such a big win. A very new publication in $NU is working out well. Don’t forget to lock in your profits.

The SuperSpread members are also capitalizing on this great volatility, rolling $RH(2 different legs) , $FDX, $XOM, $QQQ, $IWM, $BA, and $SCHW– ALL for credits. Remember-the goal is to get our cost down as low as possible and have the market’s dollars work for us.

Our RapidFire members benefitted from another interactive & idea filled session where AJ fielded and forecasted 50+ names in 1 hour. AJ will continue to work in option ideas where possible–making this session a CAN’T MISS.

Greg Montwill’s Power Pivots group continues to capitalize on this volatility through the lens of Greg’s gap, pivot, & 786 Fibonacci methodology. If that didn’t make sense, that’s OK. It isn’t supposed to. Joining the small but active group gives you a ringside seat to live trading, teaching and market conversation from pre market to post market in our member-only, Power Pivots Telegram room.  And now, a bit of Power Pivot commentary from Greg:

The Power Pivot weekly update: The move down in the indices and volatility was great for trading this week.  Being prepared and understand how to capitalize in these market conditions was key. The Power Pivots Group identified many opportunities this week and many were positioned to take advantage of these opportunities. Some went to cash early, others got short, some shifted to more defensive plays such as Dividend stocks prior to the collapse. This allowed us to be flexible and bot just playing defense like many. Having the edge being early to the party was key which is discussed live in Power Pivots Virtual Trading Room, along with live one-hour sessions on Tuesday and Thursday each week. The following are just examples of prior post in anticipation of move and live strategies.

Greg Montwill, [3/12/2025 7:28 AM]
INTC came down to a origin level/.886. and able to ID a level for a stop if wrong after holding the additional S1, I had 886 at 19.78 / 19.46 S1 / with a 2/3 low as risk. bracket w stop .**** Todays Morning call, Yesterday SMCI. Closed $4 higher today. 

Greg Montwill, [2/3/2025 7:34 AM]

YM looked nasty FRI and into potential HPTP.. I don’t argue with these patterns and reduce risk at these high levels taking advantage of the rallies and trading with the bias to the downside.  It’s a rule base strategy to sell / take profits / hedge / short into the moves we’ve had to the upside.

Greg Montwill, [3/7/2025 9:13 AM]

IT’S CLEAR THEY WANT TO GET THE STOPS AND WE MAY SEE A MARGIN CALL MONDAY LIKE AUG 5. IF I WAS AM INSTITUTIONAL TRADER THAT’S WHAT I BE SHOOTING FOR. **** I do the best I can to highlight the mkt dynamics in advance using PP levels as a guide to anticipate moves before they happen and be prepared in advance just if and when these moves take place. **** Weekend commentary

For more information on and availability in our Power Pivots group, message Support@StickyTrades.com and put “Power Pivots” in the subject line.

Finally, here is a snippet from this mornings Power Pivots session:

StickyTrades.com is a constantly growing & world wide, close-knit community that shares their success and wants to see others succeed. If interested in being a contributor to our community, please contact AJMembers@StickyTrades.com. If you think you would benefit from a small-group setting and want direct access to AJ or Greg Montwill, inquire with us about our VIP service and our Power Pivots group. Both come with their own members-only Telegram room where each group ideates & collaborates LIVE during the trading day. 

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